4.3 Market Outlook Score (MOS)

The Market Outlook Score aggregates five families of signals into a normalized scalar in the range [−1, 1]:

• Trend — Directional bias
• Momentum — Rate of price change
• Volume — Participation strength
• Volatility — Price dispersion
• Multi-timeframe slope alignment — Cross-timeframe validation

Formula

MOS = clamp( Σ (wᵢ · Sᵢ), −1, 1 )

Where:

• wᵢ = weight for signal family i
• Sᵢ = normalized signal value for family i
• clamp = bounds the result to [−1, 1]

Decision Boundaries

MOS Range	Action
MOS ≥ +0.2	LONG candidates validated
MOS ≤ −0.2	SHORT candidates validated
−0.2 < MOS < +0.2	NO TRADE

Neutral Zone

The neutral zone (−0.2 to +0.2) acts as a dead band, preventing trades in ambiguous market conditions.